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Monthly Market Update (February 2025): 3 Things You Need to Know

After a strong start to 2025, February saw some of the shine come off the US exceptionalism story. Growing uncertainty about the impact of the U.S. administration’s policy agenda weighed on both corporate and consumer sentiment, and concerns about growth started to re-emerge. Here are 3 things you need to know: U.S. equities (S&P 500) declined (-1.4%) in large part due to the worst monthly...

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Monthly Market Update (January 2025): 3 Things You Need to Know

After finishing 2024 on a downbeat note, U.S. stocks came roaring back in January. There's an old saying on Wall Street: As goes January, so goes the year. Here are 3 things you need to know: The S&P 500 gained 2.8% in January, its strongest start to a calendar year since 2023. European equities (MSCI ACWI ex-US Index +4.1%) had an excellent month as Eurozone data did not deteriorate further...

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Monthly Market Update (November 2024): 3 Things You Need to Know

Animal spirits driven by the resolution of presidential election uncertainty, economic growth and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts prompted U.S. stocks to surge in November. Here are 3 things you need to know: U.S. stocks had a strong November, with the S&P 500 rising 5.73%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 7.54% and the Nasdaq Composite climbing 6.21% to post the markets'...

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Monthly Market Update (September 2024): 3 Things You Need to Know

Global stocks and bond indices finished the month close to record levels as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by a half percentage point – its first reduction since 2020. Here are 3 things you need to know: The S&P 500 has now posted its strongest year-to-date performance of the 21st century so far (+20.8%), after rising 5.36% for the third quarter. Chinese equity markets rocketed...

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Monthly Market Update (July 2024): 3 Things You Need to Know

Expectations for rate cuts buoyed the industries that have been hit hardest by the Fed’s campaign of rate hikes and the market rally started to broaden out. Here are 3 things you need to know: The S&P 500 eked out a +1.2% gain in July. The “Magnificent 7” was down -0.6% in total return terms thanks to a strong final day, but that’s still a big shift from gains of more than +9% in both May...

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Monthly Market Update (June 2024): 3 Things You Need to Know

Stock market concentration became more extreme during the quarter. The top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 make up just over 30% of the index which is the highest in history. The catalyst for a change in market leaders likely comes from a regime or market/economic change. Here are 3 things you need to know: In Q2, the S&P 500 was up 4.28% with the top 10 stocks contributing 5.60%, meaning the...

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Monthly Market Update (April 2024): 3 Things You Need to Know

Concerns mounted around inflation and geopolitics in April. The March Consumer Price Index (CPI) report came in stronger than expected, with many of the usual suspects driving the bulk of this strength. In our opinion, stalling progress on disinflation limits the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in June, although underlying disinflationary trends should allow inflation to march lower over the course...

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Monthly Market Update (January 2024): 3 Things You Need to Know

The resilience of the U.S. economy will likely be a continuing theme in the months to come, as will be the Fed’s timing (the Fed elected to hold interest rates steady at the first Federal Open Market Committee meeting of the year on January 31st). Here are 3 things you need to know: The S&P 500 recorded new highs and was up +1.59% in January. The Magnificent 7 accounted for 45% of the...

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Monthly Market Update (December 2023): 3 Things You Need to Know

The excitement about potential cuts to interest rates continued in the markets and investors had much to cheer as the year closed out with the S&P 500 index approaching its all-time high (4797 level). Here are 3 things you need to know: Gains in the broader market were largely driven by the “Magnificent 7” (Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Tesla, and Microsoft). They accounted for...

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Monthly Market Update (September 2023): 3 Things You Need to Know

The boogie man (i.e., the Federal Reserve) showed up early rather than waiting for Halloween and major stock and bond market indices were down for the month keeping the historical pattern typically seen during September intact. Here are 3 things you need to know: The S&P 500 index closed the month down 4.87% - its worst month since December 2022 and the fourth year in a row that the index...

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Monthly Market Update (August 2023): 3 Things You Need to Know

Most global assets were down on the month. The general weakness in the month came from a few different angles. Here are 3 things you need to know: 10-yr. U.S. Treasury yields hit their highest level (4.36%) since 2007 driven partially by a larger-than-expected Treasury supply announcement. Fitch downgraded U.S. government debt from AAA to AA+. China's property crisis is rippling through its...

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Monthly Market Update (May 2023): 3 Things You Need to Know

The U.S. stock market climbed the proverbial wall of worry in May. The month started with fresh rounds of concern about U.S. regional banks (First Republic closed on May 1st), another rate hike by the Federal Reserve in the middle of the month, and intense negotiations around the U.S. debt ceiling towards the end of the month. Here are 3 things you need to know: Technology stocks surged amidst...

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Monthly Market Update (April 2023): 3 Things You Need to Know

Wall Street closed out a winning April after more companies said their profits at the start of the year weren’t as bad as expected. Here are 3 things you need to know: US real GDP rose 1.1% annualized in the first quarter, 0.8% below consensus expectations. While below expectations on the surface, a deeper look reveals a degree of underlying resiliency. Much of the slowdown can be attributed to...

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Monthly Market Update (March 2023): 3 Things You Need to Know

Despite the banking-sector turmoil seen in March, the S&P 500 rose in March, helped by strong returns from growth stocks that were buoyed by falling bond yields. Here are 3 things you need to know: The Federal Reserve continued to hike interest rates by 25 bps in March bringing the Federal funds rate range to 4.75% to 5.00%. U.S. Fed Chair Jerome Powell admitted, the current bank stress will...

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Monthly Market Update (February 2023): 3 Things You Need to Know

There was a big repricing of inflation expectations over February, as the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an uptick in inflation and the January Jobs report was much stronger than expected. Here are 3 things you need to know: 2yr U.S. inflation breakevens were up +85 basis points (bps) to 3.18%, having ended January at just 2.33%. This was the second largest monthly move higher since...

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