BFSG Blog

Financial Resources & News

Monthly Market Update: 3 Things You Need to Know

Many equity markets saw their best month of the year (including the S&P 500), whilst commodities led the way. Here are 3 things you need to know: Real GDP growth slowed substantially in the 3rd quarter to a 2.0% annual rate, after 6.5% growth in the first half of the year. Recent data points to a pick-up of economic momentum for the 4th quarter.Core CPI inflation for September rose to 4.04%....

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The Federal Reserve Taper Begins

By:  Thomas Steffanci, PhD, Senior Portfolio Manager The Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting last week finally put some meat on the bone by concluding they would start the tapering of their $120 billion monthly purchases of government securities. Though they were inexact as to the precise timing, it appears the program will begin in November and finish up by mid-2022. But there were a couple...

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The Economy is Tapering Ahead of the Fed

Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Guide to the Market By:  Thomas Steffanci, PhD, Senior Portfolio Manager The July minutes of the Federal Reserve’s (the “Fed”) latest policy meeting were released on August 18th to the hue and cry of Wall Street pundits about the Fed making plans to pull back the pace of their monthly bond purchases before the end of the year. The ongoing assumption has been...

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Monthly Economic Summary (July)

Inflation has now well surpassed the Federal Reserve’s (FOMC) target, as the core PCE accelerated to +3.5% year-over-year.  The FOMC recognizes the need to reduce accommodation in the quarters ahead and we believe it will start tapering the pace of its purchases in December. As always, if you have any questions or want to discuss the economy or markets more in-depth do not hesitate to give...

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Monthly Economic Summary (June 2021)

Last month was an interesting month for the markets and below is the economic summary for June.  As always, if you have any questions or want to discuss more in-depth do not hesitate to give us a call! Sources: Sources: J.P. Morgan Asset Management – Economic Update; Bureau of Economic Analysis (www.bea.gov); Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov); Federal Open Market Committee...

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Why the Markets Ignored the Fed

By:  Thomas Steffanci, PhD, Senior Portfolio Manager On Wednesday, June 23, 2021, the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) latest policy meeting held a week earlier were released along with individual members’ (anonymous) estimates of where the Federal funds rate will be through 2024. The policy setting group (the Federal Open Market Committee) is comprised of 18 members including Chairman...

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Economic Summary – May

Last month was an interesting month for the markets and below is the economic summary for May.  As always, if you have any questions or want to discuss more in-depth do not hesitate to give us a call! Sources: Sources: J.P. Morgan Asset Management – Economic Update; Bureau of Economic Analysis (www.bea.gov); Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov); Federal Open Market Committee...

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“Equity Investing: A Better Approach” Webinar

BFSG’s Senior Portfolio Manager, Michael Allbee, CFP® was invited to be a guest speaker for the “It’s Your Money!” workshop series put on by not-for-profit Financial & Estate Literacy. These workshops educate seniors to take control of their financial, estate, and charitable giving decisions. For this session, Mike discusses stock terminology, the importance of diversification, market...

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Monthly Economic Summary

Last month was very good for the markets and below is the economic summary for April.  As always, if you have any questions or want to discuss more in-depth do not hesitate to give us a call! Sources: Sources: J.P. Morgan Asset Management – Economic Update; Bureau of Economic Analysis (www.bea.gov); Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov); Federal Open Market Committee...

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Monthly Economic Summary

As we enter April, we are still seeing the markets reach new highs. Below is a summary of the important economic data over the last month: Sources: Sources: J.P. Morgan Asset Management – Economic Update; Bureau of Economic Analysis (www.bea.gov); Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov); Federal Open Market Committee (www.federalreserve.gov)Indices:The Barclays Aggregate Bond Index is...

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The Perils of the Wall Street Hype Train

Wall Street can often feel like a popularity contest. Every year the market has a darling stock or stocks that everyone agrees to be the flavor of the month (or year, or decade) and the stock(s) will dramatically rise regardless of fundamentals or other factors. Asset bubbles inflating and bursting are a recurring phenomenon in world economic history – the British South Sea Company bubble...

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Wild Ride – GameStop

The WallStreetBets subreddits members making their YOLO bets with their stimies on GameStonk are asking; “Where are my tendies now”? Don’t ask if you didn’t understand that sentence but just look at these charts of GameStop (GME). Source: Bloomberg (GME 1/13/21 - 2/12/21) Source: Bloomberg (GME 8/1/20 - 2/12/21) If you didn’t get a chance to see the “Coffee with Dr. Steve and Katie” we...

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Monthly Economic Summary

We know trying to keep up with everything going on in the market is difficult. We do this full time with several experienced professionals to help make sure we can get as much information as possible to help us try and make the best investment decisions for our clients. Below is a monthly summary we will be doing going forward to help you track some of the most important data points in one...

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The Intelligent Investor

We have spoken about the speculation in the markets (watch the Coffee with Dr. Steve – The Time Tunnel we posted in August) and others have pointed out how inexperience can lead to staggering losses (read the New York Times article published in July on this topic). However, speculators continue to pile into the stock market with retail brokerage firms Robinhood, TD Ameritrade (now owned by...

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Be Careful of Political Biases

We are in the middle of election season and emotions are very high. I know many clients are nervous and considering making financial decisions based upon who wins the presidency. This is all too common and the chart below from J.P. Morgan highlights the relationship of consumer confidence and political affiliation. What is interesting is you can see that consumer confidence is directly...

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